Friday, December 18, 2009

Tricky Forecast for Snow

**4 PM UPDATE**
New information is out from the National Weather Service and we continue to be under a Winter Weather Advisory from 6 pm tonight through 4 pm on Saturday. The best estimation is for between 1 and 3 inches of snow to accumulate by Saturday evening. Travel may become hazardous across some portions of the Cumberland Plateau. Be very careful if you plan to be out late this evening or early on Saturday morning.

**12:55 PM UPDATE**
Getting reports of snow ('big, fat flakes') from my buddy, Jim, who works east of Cookeville on the mountain. Elevation at his office is probably 800 feet higher than ours. Also, getting reports from the folks at the Smoky Mountain's Blog that Newfound Gap has 4" of snow!


**12 NOON UPDATE**
Expectations, at this point, are for the changeover from rain to snow to begin around dark or just after for the immediate Cookeville area. Higher elevations east toward Monterey could see an earlier changeover. GRAPHIC-CAST MAP FROM NWS-NASHVILLE! As of now, unless something changes, expect around 1" of snow overnight for Cookeville while areas to our east and in the higher elevations could wake up to 3"+ by daylight. As always, this is an active & developing situation and is subject to change.


WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: For the Cookeville and surrounding areas for tonight through Saturday. Rain changing to snow overnight. Cold today, high only 43° with rain most of the day. Dress warmly! Advisory here!

RAIN THEN SNOW?: All sorts of things to discuss on this Friday morning. Rain for most of today followed by an interesting weather scenario tonight. Expect accumulations of 4-6 inches of snow in the East Tennessee mountains. Closer to Cookeville, sections of the northern Cumberland Plateau could see anywhere from around 1" near Monterey on up to 4" up around Oneida, Wartburg, and other rural areas. I think this will occur late on Friday through Saturday evening with snow showers on Sunday. As of now, a Winter Weather Advisory is posted from the northern Cumberland Plateau.




Winter Solstice: The shortest day of the year or the longest night of the year, whichever you want to call it occurs on Monday. It is the official start of winter and that will occur at 11:47 a.m. For a complete story of why this happens, check out Bobby Boyd's post at the NWS-Nashville.

White Christmas Update: Jeff Ray, at Channel 2 in Nashville, has an interesting read about the possibilities of a white Christmas for our area. I encourage you to check it out!

**Another White Christmas update from Jeff Ray**

Weather History for This Date
1916 - The greatest one-day snowfall ever for Nashville in December as 6" falls on this date!


Cookeville's Daily Almanac
Yesterday's high: 53° low: 25°
Normal High: 49°
(Record: 70° in 2006)
Normal Low: 28°
(Record: 2° in 1932)
Last Year: 57° and 40°
1.86" of rain fell on this date in 1967
6" of snow in Cookeville in 1916
7" of snow on the ground in 1916
Temperatures are running 2.5° below normal thus far in December
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AMS

AMS
Member-American Meteorological Society