And The 'S' Word Appears

Yesterday I wrote a post about the potential for snow, wind, and cold. The snow part of the equation was just for the East Tennessee mountains, however there is a possibility for some snow showers in the eastern portions of middle Tennessee with the best chances on the Plateau. Those towns would include Monterey, Crossville, Jamestown, Clarkrange, Crab Orchard, Deer Lodge, Banner Elk, Allardt, and  Rugby.

I don't think we'll see any accumulations in those areas but an October snow is a rarity indeed. This weather situation is from the powerful storm in the northeast names Hurricane Sandy.


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Snow, Windy, and Cold

With Hurricane Sandy making big news on the east coast, she is also affecting our weather here in middle TN. Typically in late October our average high is 66°. We'll struggle to get to 50° the next few days. Sandy's counter clockwise motion is pulling cold air in from Canada.

SNOW!
If you like snow, you won't have to go far. In elevations just above Gatlinburg, there is a Winter Storm Warning for 4-12". Blizzard conditions are expected at times.

WINDY!
We'll have windy conditions right here in the Cookeville area and across much of middle TN on Monday, Monday night, Tuesday, and into Wednesday where gusts could hit 30 mph.

COLD!
Expect lows to drop to 35° by Monday morning with some frost, 34° by Tuesday morning, 32° by Wednesday morning. It'll be quite the shock to our system after this nice run of warm weather last week.

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Special Weather Statement

Cold tonight with patchy frost due to the combination of high pressure to our north and Hurricane Sandy off the Carolina coast will keep north winds and colder air surging south into the region tonight. Mostly clear skies are expected west of the plateau area with lows falling into the mid 30's. The steady winds will prevent a widespread frost from formings. Low lying areas and sheltered areas will likely see some frost. More clouds are expected in the Plateau region tonight with the potential for patchy frost as well.

The rest of the week is expected to feature much below normal temperatures.

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Drizzle Chances and Chilly

We'll have a chance of some light drizzle this morning across the Cookeville area. Highs will only reach 51° with a steady north wind around 10 mph. We may see some sunshine by late this afternoon.

Highs only hit 48.6° on Saturday with brisk, windy conditions (max. gust 17 mph) and cloudy skies.

Overnight, expect very cold temperatures with a low of 33° by Monday morning. Depending on sky conditions, frost may develop. There is a short SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT in effect for the frost chances.

We'll remain under the effects of Hurricane Sandy as cold air will continue to be pumped down into middle Tennessee. Skies will be sunny with a high only in the upper 40's and a north northwest wind around 5 to 15 mph on Monday. Clear Monday night into Tuesday with lows around 30° and a major, killing frost on Tuesday morning. Highs on Tuesday will reach the lower 50's.

I do see a warming trend showing up for Friday and Saturday with highs reaching into the 60's.

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Cloudy, Windy, and Chilly Saturday

Temperatures will struggle to reach the 50's today with a blustery north wind. At 10 am, we stand at just 45.8°. With cloudy skies added to the mix and temps this past week in the 70's & 80's, today will feel especially cold.

We'll begin the process of partial clearing tonight with a cold low of 40°. Sunday's high with peeks of sunshine will only be 52°. We'll drop to near freezing by Monday morning and Monday's highs will only be near 50° with a northwest wind increasing during the day.

The extended forecast calls for chilly and windy conditions all week. The reason for this is Hurricane Sandy is moving up the east coast and with the counter-clockwise spin, it'll pull cold Canadian air down into the middle TN area. We won't see 60° until at least Friday or Saturday.

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Warm Sunday But Big Change Possible Next Weekend

Super Sunday with highs in the 70's. We expect this great weather to continue into much of next week but do see a cool down by next weekend with highs only in upper 40's and low 50's.

Enjoy the pretty Sunday.

Cookeville, Tennessee (38501) Conditions & Forecast : Weather Underground

Windy With A Sprinkle or Two

Expect a nice day with highs in the lower to mid 60's. Skies should remain mostly cloudy and there is a chance for a sprinkle or two. Nothing heavy and not for very long. It'll be windy with gusts as high as 25 mph this afternoon.

For tonight, mostly cloudy and chilly. A low of 42° is expected.

Your weekend forecast is for sunny skies both days and cool Saturday with a high of just 60° but warming to 71° on Sunday. Cold Saturday night/Sunday morning with a low of 40°.

The week ahead starts warm and sunny with highs in the mid to upper 70's.

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Sunny, Warm, and Windy

Expect sunny skies with highs climbing around 75° today and winds will be gusty to 25 mph.

Tonight, thunderstorms late with the strongest storms back to our west around Nashville. Winds will be gusty again this evening to 25 mph.

Thursday...a slight chance of a shower early in the morning but they'll be wrapped up by lunch. Eventually, skies will begin to clear and we'll see a high of 65° in the afternoon.

The weekend looks great with highs in the mid 60's moderating to the mid 70's by Sunday.

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Sunny, Windy, and Cool

Expect skies to clear this morning with sunny skies expected for your Monday. There will be a strong northwesterly wind gusting to 25 mph at times today. The high is expected around 67° after our start in the mid 50's this morning. It'll feel a bit chillier due to the winds. Mostly clear tonight with a low around 41° by morning. Tuesday's high will be around 70° with light southwest winds.

Next rain chances are expected Wednesday night with a high on Wednesday of 75°. Rain is expected to last through Thursday night. The upcoming weekend looks mild and sunny.

Speaking of rain, we recorded .47" during the last 24 hours. This puts our October total at 3.24", which is nearly average for an entire month and we're just at the halfway point!

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Wind Advisory Extended

....by three hours tonight....gusts to 35 MPH.

InteractiveNWS - Alert Information

Wind Advisory Through Tonight

Gusts to 35 MPH expected today (Sunday) as a strong front approaches middle Tennessee.

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Super Saturday Weather Forecast

Expect a mostly sunny day for your Saturday with highs reaching 75°. South winds from 5-10 mph. Tonight, skies become cloudy with a low of 57° and a light south wind.

Sunday's forecast includes a mostly cloudy sky with a 40% chance of thunderstorms and a high of 73°. It will be windy with south winds from 5-15 mph gusting to 25 mph. On Sunday night, thunderstorm chances ramp up even more with a low of 57°. Rain chances 60%. For now, I think we avoid any severe weather, but I will keep an eye to the weather sky and let you know if things change.

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Frosty Night Ahead

Expect a chilly overnight with frost developing by 3 am and lasting until around 8 am. The coldest temperatures will be right around the freezing mark in the higher elevations of the Cumberland Plateau.

Be sure to cover any sensitive vegetation. This is a killing frost and some areas could see freezing temperatures for a time. These areas include the Highland Rim and the Cumberland Plateau.

FROST ADVISORY

After areas of morning frost, I expect we'll warm up nicely under sunny skies and will hit the upper 60's with some folks seeing 70° for the high. Rain returns Thursday night and into Friday although chances are slim for now. Highs Friday near 70° under a cloudy sky.

Saturday is expected to be partly sunny and nice with a high of 76°. Ditto that forecast for Sunday with a 30% chance of thunderstorms and a high of 76°.

TITAN FORECAST:
Showers hold off for the game with temps in the upper 60's for kickoff and dropping through the 60's during the game. Should be a fairly nice evening with calm winds. Let's go and whip those Steelers!

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More Frost Wednesday Night and Thursday Morning

Here we go again!

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Cold Night Ahead

*Latest Local Forecast*

Already down to 40 degrees and expect we will drop at least 5-7 more degrees by sunrise. Widespread frost is expected. Take any flowers indoors that are sensitive to frost.

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Widespread Frost Tonight

Expect areas of frost after 4 am with lows in the mid 30's. I do think the frost will last through the 8 o'clock hour tomorrow morning. If you're leaving before that, you'll need to scrape your car's windshield. For safety reasons, hit the side windows, too.

*FROST ADVISORY*

The rest of the week looks great with highs in the 60's. We'll see a chance for rain (a slight chance) by late Thursday night into Friday.

We may very well see another shot at frost on Wednesday night/Thursday morning with temps in the 30's once again.

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Cool Day Ahead

On Sunday, we failed to get into the 60's (the high was 56.7 degrees). It hasn't been this cool since April 23.  More chilly weather is on tap. If we don't top 60 on Monday, it'll be since early March that we've not hit 60 for two consecutive days!

I don't expect us to climb any higher on Monday (Columbus Day) with a slight chance for rain in the morning. Frost is expected overnight Monday into Tuesday around sunrise.

A slight chance for rain on Wednesday, but the rest of the week looks quite nice.

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Cool Weather Ahead

It is a chilly 46° this morning at 8:30 am. Expect this afternoon's highs to only be in the upper 50's. Hard to believe average high this time of year is 74°. Skies do have a chance to become partly cloudy today so upper 50's may feel so chilly. All of middle TN will be in the 50's today.

RAINFALL AND COCORAHS:
We measured .10" of precipitation in the rain gauge during the last 24 hours ending this morning at 8 am. This gives us a total of 2.40" for the month of October. By the way, the rainfall is measured using a 4" diameter gauge and reported to CoCoRaHS.org. If you want to volunteer for this program, please go to their website or contact me via e-mail.

COLUMBUS DAY WEATHER:
Tonight, clouds and rain chances return with a low in the 40's. The frost will hold off here in Cookeville but is more likely west of Nashville as skies will clear once again. Slight rain chances for Columbus Day in Cookeville with a high of just 62°. The sun will shine later in the day. Chilly Monday night with a low around 40°. I think we'll escape the frost again.

EXTENDED FORECAST:
Sunny and 68° for the high on Tuesday, slight rain chance and 67° on Wednesday, and sunshine with a high of 68° on Thursday.

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Nice Forecast Change Temporarily

We'll see skies gradually clear this afternoon with a high near 60 and a north wind at around 5 mph. Another reinforcement of cold air rolls through tonight with increasing clouds and scattered showers. A low of 42° and then a mostly cloudy Sunday with showers early and a high of just 56°.

Enjoy the rest of Saturday.

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What A Difference

Did you know the last two days at 9:30 am our temperatures were 69.4° (yesterday) and 67.3° (Thursday)? Today (Saturday) at 9:30 we are nearly 25° cooler at just 45.6° and the wind chill (feels like) has been as low as 43°.

SATURDAY FORECAST:
Cloudy, dreary, and chilly. The forecasted high is 59° but we'll struggle to warm-up all day, so I don't think we'll get close to that number. Scattered showers and cool tonight with a low of 42°. Normal high/low this date is 73/50.

SUNDAY FORECAST:
30% chance of showers early becoming cloudy and more dry in the afternoon with a high of 56°. A slight chance of frost overnight into Monday (if skies clear) with a low of 38°.

*Special Weather Statement*

OCTOBER RAINS:
We are already up to 2.30" of rain this month. To give you a bit of perspective, over the last 30 years October has averaged 3.23" of rainfall. This after 11.50" of rain in September, which is more than 2 and 1/2 times the normal amount of September rain.

2012 ANNUAL RAINFALL UPDATE:
For the year, we've overtaken the normal amount. Currently, we stand at 46.02" while the average is 42.92". This is a huge turnaround considering we were in the 9" plus deficit ranges back in July and considered to be in a drought.

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Great Friday But There Are Changes Coming

A beautiful Friday is on tap across the Upper Cumberland region. We started this morning at 53.3° and currently sit at 54.2° at just after 7:15 am. Expect highs to rise to just past 80° later this afternoon. There will plenty of sunshine. Winds will become southwesterly from 5-10 mph during the afternoon.

Tonight, rain develops very late in the overnight hours. Clouds will increase early in the evening hours. Lows by sunrise Saturday should be around 51°.

On Saturday, a big change with temps 20° cooler for highs and a 50/50 chance of showers. North northwest winds around 5 mph and a high of just 61°.

Saturday night...chilly, a low of 42° with a 50% chance of showers.

Sunday...a chance of showers early with a mostly cloudy day and a high of just 58°.

Sunday night...Frost likely after 4 am and a low of 37°

Monday....Morning frost and a high of 64° under sunny skies.

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Nice Thursday and Friday With Cool Weather Coming

Expect sunny skies and a high of 78° today. Overnight, it'll be clear and a low of 53°. For Friday, more sunshine with some clouds mixed in and a high of 81°.

Rain shower chances for Friday night's football games and a low of 52°.

Rain for Saturday with a high of 62° and a low of 43°.

Rain Sunday and a high of just 60°. Clearing Sunday night with patchy morning frost by Monday and a low of 38°. For Columbus Day, sunshine after the morning frost and a high of 65°.

ALMANAC:
Wednesday's high: 73.2°
This morning's low: 53.4°
No rain was recorded

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Warm Through Friday Then BIG Drop Off

An interesting forecast period coming up.

**Special Weather Statement**

Expect temperatures to warm near 80 degrees by the end of this week but we're staring at a big drop in temps over the weekend with rainy conditions. Highs on Sunday may only reach the upper 50's. Once skies clear out on Sunday night, we could be staring at frost on late Sunday night into Monday as lows will dip near freezing.

This will certainly be the coldest weather yet of the season and may prompt possible watches/warnings.

48-hour Forecast:
Tonight - Patchy fog by sunrise - 53
Tomorrow - Fog early, then sunny - 79
Thursday night - Clear - 54
Friday - Sunshine - 78

Weekend Forecast:
Friday night - rain late - 54
Saturday - rain - 65
Saturday night - rain - 43
Sunday - slight chance rain - 57
Sunday night - patchy frost - 38

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UPDATED: Tornado Report

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 3:24 PM CDT on October 02, 2012

...NWS storm survey team confirmed an EF-0 tornado near

Statesville in Wilson County Tennessee...

Location...Statesville in Wilson County Tennessee
date...10/01/2012
estimated time...5:07 PM
maximum ef-scale rating...EF-0
estimated maximum wind speed...85 mph
maximum path width...100 yards
path length...2 miles
beginning lat/Lon...36.01 / 86.14w
ending lat/Lon...36.03 / 86.13w
* fatalities...0
* injuries...0

The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
  change pending final review of the event(s) and publication in
  NWS storm data.

...Summary...
The National Weather Service in Nashville TN has confirmed a
tornado near Statesville in Wilson County Tennessee on October
first 2012.

An EF-0 tornado touched down southwest of the intersection of
Knight Creek Road and Greenvale Road near Statesville then moved
northeast before ending along Highway 267 northwest of
Statesville. Structural damage along the path included one mobile
home sliding off its foundation...four sheds lofted or rolled and
destroyed...and aluminum roofing that was blown hundreds of yards.
Multiple trees were also blown down along the path.

This is the first tornado on record to occur during the month of
October in Wilson County.

This information can also be found on our website at
weather.Gov/ohx.

For reference...
The Enhanced Fujita scale classifies tornadoes into
the following categories:

EF0...wind speeds 65 to 85 mph.
EF1...wind speeds 86 to 110 mph.
EF2...wind speeds 111 to 135 mph.
EF3...wind speeds 136 to 165 mph.
EF4...wind speeds 166 to 200 mph.
EF5...wind speeds greater than 200 mph.

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Big Warm Up Followed By Cold Snap

Special Statement
Expires 6:00 PM CDT on October 02, 2012 Statement as of 4:01 PM CDT on October 2, 2012

... Summer like temperatures late this week to be followed by a big chill... ...

Widespread frost possible early next week.

.. After clouds clear late tonight and Wednesday morning... you can expect southerly winds to bring a good warm up for the Wednesday through Friday period. Daytime highs will push into the 70s on Wednesday... then soar into the lower 80s in many areas on Thursday and Friday.

However... our weather pattern takes a turn toward much colder conditions over the weekend and early next week... as a large Canadian high pressure system works its way southward across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys.

We first start to see the impacts of the chilly air on Saturday... as winds turn northerly... clouds and scattered showers roll in... and Saturday high temperatures struggle to reach the upper 50s to mid 60s over most parts of middle Tennessee. Lows then drop into the 40s late Saturday night and early Sunday and only top out in the upper 50s to lower 60s on Sunday afternoon.

The cold air will really start to get our attention early next week... especially Monday morning... as the center of high pressure moves across middle Tennessee. Right now... it looks like lows in the middle 30s will be common... and some spots may even be flirting with the freezing mark. Such temperatures... along with clear skies and calm wind... could lead to widespread frost formation.

Even though agriculturalists should be vigilant and expect a possible killing frost, it is still too early to tell exactly how cold temperatures will get during the first part of next week.

Updated Statement On Possible Tornado

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

1213 PM CDT
TUE OCT 2 2012

..NWS METEOROLOGISTS ARE CURRENTLY SURVEYING STORM DAMAGE NEAR STATESVILLE IN WILSON COUNTY TENNESSEE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN NASHVILLE TN IS CURRENTLY CONDUCTING A STORM SURVEY FOR THE AREA NEAR STATESVILLE IN WILSON COUNTY TENNESSEE. THE SURVEY IS IN RELATION TO THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA ON OCTOBER 1, 2012.

LATEST INFORMATION CONFIRMS TOUCHDOWN OF AN EF0 TORNADO AT STATESVILLE (IN WILSON COUNTY), WITH MAX WINDS OF 85 MPH, AND A PATH WIDTH OF 50 YARDS. PATH LENGTH IS CURRENTLY BEING DETERMINED.

A FINAL ASSESSMENT INCLUDING RESULTS OF THE SURVEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETED AND TRANSMITTED VIA A PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT BY 1800 CDT, OCTOBER 2, 2012.

IT WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE...WHICH CAN BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV/OHX.

Possible Tornado Damage Last Night In Smith and Wilson

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

906 AM CDT
TUE OCT 2 2012

...NWS SURVEY TEAM TO INVESTIGATE POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE

... REPORTS OF POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE WERE RECEIVED IN WILSON AND SMITH COUNTIES IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCURRED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY TEAM WILL INVESTIGATE REPORTED DAMAGE IN THESE COUNTIES TODAY.

RESULTS FROM THE STORM SURVEY WILL BE RELAYED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

Canceled

The tornado watch has been canceled.

LINK------>
http://1.usa.gov/P7mfSe

Tornado Watch until 1 AM

Extended through 1 am. Be vigilant when stronger storms roll through.

Link-----
http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/7795506

Tornado Watch

A tornado watch has just been issued for Putnam and surrounding areas.

Watch means conditions are favorable for development in and near the watch area.

See link...
http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/7794046

Wet Monday Forecast

Rainfall will continue across all of middle TN today with some thunder expected. Rain chances today are 90%. There is a chance for isolated severe storms today in southeast middle TN generally from a line from Woodbury to Shelbyville and points eastward. So, if you're going to Chattanooga from Cookeville today, keep an eye to the sky. Expect a high of 72° here in Cookeville, TN.

Overnight, we recorded .70" of rain. A great way to start the month of October!

We finished September with 11.50".

For the next several days, expect a 70% chance of rain tonight and a low of 60°. For Tuesday, a 30% chance of showers and a high of 71°. A slight chance of rain on Wednesday with peeks of sunshine and a high of 75°. We'll finally clear out for Wednesday night and Thursday where we will see of a high of 78°.

*Hazardous Weather Outlook*

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